1 veteran versus 4 rookies – GoldDerby
Chelsea Lauren/Diversity; Michael Buckner/Diversity; Dimitrios Kambouris/Getty Images; SI1/IF; Gilbert Flores/variety; AMPAS
The 2023 Oscar nominees for Best Supporting Actor are Brendan Gleeson (“The Banshees of Inisherin”), Brian Tyree Henry (“Dam”), Judd Hirsch (“The Fablemans”), Barry Keoghan (“The Banshees of Inisherin”) and Ke Huy Quan (“Everything everywhere at once”). Our odds currently show Quan (31/10) triumphing, followed by Gleeson (4/1), Keoghan (4/1), Hirsch (9/2) and Henry (9/2).
Hirsch is the only recurring contestant among the five, having previously won awards for his role in 1981’s Ordinary People. He is the 74th man to receive at least two endorsement announcements and the sixth to be added to this list in the past five years Mahershala Ali, Sam Rockwell, Anthony Hopkins, Brad PittAnd JK Simmons. The 42-year gap between their first and second offerings is the widest for any artist in any leading or supporting category. The previous record holder was Henry Fondawho won Best Actor for On Golden Pond (1982) after last starring in The Grapes of Wrath (1941).
At 87, Hirsch is the second-oldest person to ever contest for an acting Oscar. The only one that surpasses him is Christopher Plummer, who was 91 days older when he received his third and final minor nomination for All the Money in the World (2018). The other members of the new top 5 are Gloria Stuart (87; Titanic, 1998) Judi Densch (87; “Belfast”, 2022) and Emmanuelle Riva (85; Amour, 2013). Hirsch could also set a new record as the oldest-ever acting Oscar winner, edging out 2021 Best Actor Champion Hopkins (“The Father”) by over four years.
Conversely, at just 30 years old, Keoghan is among the youngest 11% of men to have ever competed for that award. He has a chance to become the first male acting winner born in the 1990s as well as the current main contenders Austin Butler (“Elvis”) and Paul Meskal (“After Sun”). At this time, the only female winners representing the decade are the 2013 Best Actress award winner Jennifer Lawrence (“Silver Linings Playbook”) and reigning champion for Best Supporting Actress Ariana DeBose (“West Side Story”)
The Banshees of Inisherin is the 22nd film to receive more than one nomination in this category and the fourth in as many years after The Irishman (2020; Al Pacino And Joe Pesci), “Judas and the Black Messiah” (2021; Daniel Kaluya And LaKeith Stanfield) and “The Power of the Dog” (2022; Jesse Plemons And Kodi Smit McPhee). Hirsch found himself in a similar situation in 1981 when he was eventually defeated by his Ordinary People castmate. Timothy Hutton.
Henry has a chance to become the seventh black winner in this category right after Kaluuya. This precedent was set by Louis Gossett Jr. (“An Officer and a Gentleman”) in 1983 when Henry was just one year old. Quan could end a much longer drought by joining Haing S.Ngor (“The Killing Fields,” 1985) for only second-best Asian supporting actor.
The youngest winners in this category are Troy Kotsur (CODA, 2022), Kaluuya, Pitt (Once Upon a Time in Hollywood, 2020) and Ali (Green Book, 2019). This year’s winner will be announced during the 95th Annual Academy Awards, which will air March 12 on ABC.
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