Real Madrid vs. Eintracht Frankfurt best bets, odds, lines, picks, and expert predictions for UEFA Super Cup
The 2022 UEFA Super Cup will open the calendar for Europe’s big clubs when Champions League winners Real Madrid take on Europa League champions Eintracht Frankfurt.
The game is an intriguing affair as Los Blancos, one of Europe’s club giants, meet an enigmatic German opponent.
Eintracht Frankfurt was a fascinating pursuer last season. The German side struggled at times in the Bundesliga last season, demonstrated again in last weekend’s 6-1 win over Bayern Munich to open Germany’s top-flight season. Yet the ups and downs of league play never seemed to trouble the club in European competition as they stormed through the likes of Barcelona, West Ham and Rangers in last season’s Europa League to eventually lift the trophy.
Madrid, meanwhile, are yet to open La Liga games and endured mixed results last season with a 2-2 draw against Club America and a 1-0 loss to rivals Barcelona. The 2-0 win over Juventus to close the voting list gives hope that Carlo Ancelotti’s club are fit and in shape ahead of the new season.
MORE: Real Madrid fixtures for 2022/23 season
Real Madrid vs Eintracht Frankfurt betting odds
While Eintracht Frankfurt has been difficult to predict over the last calendar year, Real Madrid are still seen as heavy favorites, especially after Frankfurt’s 6-1 loss to Bayern.
Despite Madrid’s overwhelming odds, both sides are expected to find the back of the net, according to BettingMarket. Although Eintracht Frankfurt are expected to pose some threat to Real Madrid’s defence, they should also face significant pressure themselves, as shown by the margin set at 1.5 goals in favor of the Spanish giants.
| United States of America (Draft Kings) |
Canada (sports interaction) |
United Kingdom (SkyBet) |
|
|---|---|---|---|
| Real Madrid wins (90 minutes/cup) |
-240 / -425 | -222 / -455 | 4/9, 1/6 |
| To draw | +360 | +350 | 18/5 |
| Frankfurt wins (90 min / cup) |
+550 / +310 | +500 / +290 | 6/1, 7/2 |
| Both teams to score Y/N |
-130 / +105 | -141 / -111 | 8/11, 1/1 |
| over under 2.5 goals |
-155 / +130 | -167 / +125 | 5.6., 13.8 |
| Real Madrid -1.5 | +130 | +122 | — |
| Frankfurt +1.5 | -150 | -156 | — |
Real Madrid versus Eintracht Frankfurt forecast
Real Madrid are increasingly dependent on the presence of talisman Karim Benzema to score goals, as illustrated by the club’s struggles without the Frenchman earlier in the pre-season. Now that Benzema is back as a regular, Los Blancos once again present their trademark offensive threat.
Eintracht Frankfurt, on the other hand, only conceded six goals against FC Bayern Munich at the weekend. The struggles in the league weren’t transferred to European soil in last year’s Europa League, but this is a new season and at some point a club is what it is. The departure of centre-back Martin Hinteregger following his surprise retirement is a disappointment on the pitch and his replacement Almamy Toure played poorly against Bayern.
There will be goals in this game for a club like Real Madrid and Eintracht Frankfurt are unlikely to have the firepower to keep up.
- Moneyline Lean: Real Madrid (-240 on DraftKings)
- Lean against the spread: Real Madrid -1.5 (+130 on DraftKings)
- Scoreline Prediction: Real Madrid 3-1 Eintracht Frankfurt
Real Madrid vs Eintracht Frankfurt best bets & expert analysis
Real Madrid vs Eintracht Frankfurt best bet
Defensive cohesion often takes time to develop. So early in the season, with La Liga season not even started yet, it’s likely that both teams still have some issues to work out.
This has been demonstrated over the years at this competition, which usually takes place in mid-August. Only one team has kept a clean sheet in the last 10 UEFA Super Cups: Real Madrid in their 2-0 win against Sevilla in 2014. Since that game, all 14 participants have scored at least once.
We all know the attacking skills of a club like Real Madrid, especially Karim Benzema, but the German opponents are also dangerous. Eintracht Frankfurt’s most dangerous player, Filip Kostic, is expected to move to Juventus Turin and is likely to have made his last appearance for the Bundesliga club in the defeat against FC Bayern Munich. Even in his absence, Frankfurt has plenty of offensive talent and this summer they included former World Cup hero Mario Götze in the squad.
Choose: Both teams to score (-139 on Sports Interaction)
Prop Real Madrid vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: total corners
Regardless of the flow of the game, this Eintracht Frankfurt team is a corner kick machine, even when they’re not in possession. They averaged 5.7 corners per game in both the Bundesliga and Europa League last season, even against bigger clubs when they had less possession.
For example, at home against Barcelona, where Frankfurt had just 34 percent possession and played a man down for the last 11 minutes, they still managed to record six corners. They took a whopping 11 corners against Rangers in the Europa League final despite having just under half of the ball. They still managed five corners against Bayern last weekend, a game in which Frankfurt had 37 percent possession and lost 6-1.
Real Madrid will only get their share of corner kicks based on attacking volume and the German team should have no problem keeping up in that category.
Prop kicker: Over 9.5 total corners (-145 on Sports Interaction)
Real Madrid vs Eintracht Frankfurt Propflyer: Goalscorer
Understandably, the odds for Karim Benzema to score in this game (-161 on Sports Interaction) are really low and they will be for most of the season considering he is prodigiously capable of hitting the back of the network to find. Therefore, picking the Frenchman as Real Madrid’s top scorer is difficult and we need to find other options that offer greater risk but greater reward.
Marco Asensio has slowly and quietly developed into a reliable attacking player under Carlo Ancelotti on the right wing, always starting a more flashy option like Rodrygo. Last year Asensio scored 12 times in all competitions, scoring one goal every 175 minutes, or roughly once every two full 90 minutes.
He was seeded for the Champions League final in favor of Federico Valverde who is a more physical two-way player. But that move was necessitated by the threat posed by Liverpool’s Luis Diaz, a tactical decision that worked well. That won’t be necessary against Frankfurt, who Asensio can feast against given the attention paid to Benzema and Vinicius. Asensio scored Real Madrid’s second goal against Juventus in the club’s last friendly and he scored five goals in his last 800 La Liga minutes last season, which began in February.
Check the starting line-up here before making this selection (which you should always do), but if Asensio starts he could be a good choice to score.
Prop flyer: Marco Asensio all-time goalscorer (+185 at Sports Interaction)