NFL odds Week 4: How to bet Bills-Ravens

The Buffalo Bills are headed to take on the Baltimore Ravens in Week 4 of 2022 NFL Season.

Buffalo and Baltimore have mixed results in Week 3. Buffalo fell back to 2-1 with a 21-19 loss to the Miami Dolphins. Baltimore is also 2-1 after defeating the New England Patriots, 37-26.

Is this a preview of another playoff matchup? Can Lamar Jackson get his revenge for the last time these teams faced each other – a divisional round loss in January 2021? Or will Josh Allen & co. recoup last week’s loss in the Miami heat?

Who will come out on top in this AFC East vs. AFC North clash?

Here’s everything you need from a betting perspective on the Bills Ravens game, from the point spread, moneyline, total over/under and Warren Sharp’s expert insight (odds via FOX Bet):

TIED TOGETHER: Week 4 rows, odds

bills @ ravens (1 p.m. ET Sunday, CBS)

Point distribution: buffalo -3 (Bills prefer to win with more than 3 points, otherwise Ravens cover)
money line: Bills -162 favorites to win (bet $10 to win $16.17 total); Ravens +130 Win underdogs (bet $10 to win $24 total)
Total score over/under: Both teams scored 51 points together

FOX sports betting analyst Warren Sharp:

So far this season, the Ravens have played the nozzlesDolphins and Patriots.

In the first three quarters of games, the Jets and Dolphins are two of the three teams using the lowest rate 2-high safeties in the NFL. They just don’t play those 2-high shells at all.

The Jets are within the league average.

But the Bills are playing 2-high at the second-highest rate in the NFL. Totally different than what the Ravens have experienced before.

The other thing that’s similar across all defenses the Ravens have played to date is their flash rate. The Ravens and Dolphins both blitzed lamar at a price far above average, which is no surprise, especially for the dolphins. And the jets didn’t flash as much, but didn’t generate pressure unless they flashed. When they weren’t blitzing, they were generating pressure at a rate of just 19%, well below the NFL average.

The Bills, on the other hand, literally don’t flash at all and still rank second in print rate at just over 40%.

Jackson has absolutely rolled defenses that blitzed him. He has the No. 1 efficiency against the blitz of any quarterback this year.

Jackson ran against 2-high coverage teams last year with a lot of success, but most of the top teams in the NFL, like the Chiefs, Bills, Bucs, Packers, and Eagles, use 2-high a lot more than the average This is a great test of the Ravens’ passing offense, and for the first time this season they’ll be up against a defense that plays a lot of 2-high, doesn’t blitz, and records a lot of pressure.

I think the Ravens could be a frisky home underdog in one of the best games of the weekend.

Are you ready for the NFL season? If so, go to FOX Bet for all your bets.

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