Arsenal vs Man City prediction, odds, betting tips and best bets for Premier League title match
A classic heavyweight clash between Premier League leaders No.1 and No.2 is brought to life at the Emirates Stadium as title favorites Arsenal host Manchester City.
A Premier League championship race that felt about to end just a few weeks ago has now been revived as Man City win that game would take the lead at the top of the table. Arsenal’s lead, once eight points, has now shrunk to just three, with a goal difference in their opponents’ favour.
Both sides have shown shortcomings in recent weeks amid an extremely deep and challenging Premier League membership, but neither has yet surrendered in a title race that could go to extremes. However, it would not be an exaggeration to think that a win for both sides in this game would put this team in pole position to lift the trophy at the end of the season.
Good that this match falls on this day after Valentine’s Day, because no love will be lost in the Premier League title fight. It just doesn’t get any more intense, important or meaningful than first-vs-second in the English top flight.
MORE: Premier League top scorers as Erling Haaland chases league records
Arsenal vs Man City Odds
Despite Arsenal’s exceptional home form this season, unbeaten at the Emirates, Manchester City are slight favorites on hostile soil. That’s no surprise as the betting market has stayed with Man City for most of the season, despite Arsenal’s clear advantage at the top of the Premier League table. Arsenal needed an eight-point lead to become title favorites and with that margin of just three points, Man City have reclaimed the mantle.
While the betting market assumes that both teams will almost certainly go on the net, there are questions about the overall flow of this game. The tally of over 2.5 goals is only a slight favourite, meaning two of the top three defensive formations in the Premier League command respect.
Odds on BetMGM (USA), Sports Interaction (Canada), SkyBet (UK) and Neds (Australia).
| BetMGM | Sports interaction |
SkyBet | neds | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arsenal win | +185 | +174 | 19/10 | 2.85 |
| Pull | +240 | +224 | 5/2 | 3.40 |
| Man City wins | +140 | +150 | 13.10 | 2.35 |
| Both teams to score Y/N |
-155 / +105 | -167 / +106 | 13.8., 5.6 | 1.62 / 2.20 |
| over under 2.5 goals |
-130 / -110 | -123 / -103 | 4/5, 10/11 | 1.82 / 1.98 |
| Manchester City -0.5 | +125 | +134 | — | — |
| Armory +0.5 | -185 | -173 | — | — |
Arsenal vs Man City: 3 things to know
Arsenal vs Man City game facts
- Date: Wednesday February 15th
- kick-off time: 2:30pm ET / 7:30pm GMT / 6:30am AEDT (Thursday, February 16)
- Location: Emirates Stadium (London, England)
- Officially: AnthonyTaylor
Arsenal vs Man City team news
long-term absence Gabriel Jesus And Mohammed Elneny Stay out for this game, and Emile Smith Rowe is still working after a hamstring injury but otherwise Arsenal have a full squad. Tear Nelson has returned to training after a hamstring problem but this game could come a little too soon for the young winger.
The biggest focus for Man City will be on the star striker Erling Haland who was withdrawn midway through the weekend’s win over Aston Villa. Haaland’s injury doesn’t appear to be a concern and he should be available as Pep Guardiola explained after the game that his striker could have stayed on had it been a closer game. If Haaland can’t go, it would be Julian Alvarez get in front. The only other concern for Guardiola is the centre-back John Steine who has been sidelined for a few weeks with a foot injury.
MORE: Updated Premier League table with title, Champions League and relegation race breakdowns
Arsenal vs Man City key stats
- In six games against each other, Pep Guardiola has won five and Mikel Arteta just one, with the Gunners boss triumphing in the 2020 FA Cup semi-finals.
- Man City have won six straight games against Arsenal in all competitions.
- Man City have won 22 consecutive Premier League games on a Wednesday, the longest single-day winning streak by a club in league history.
- Arsenal have lost their last eight league games against the Premier League holders, six of them against Man City. They have lost to Man City ten times in a row in the Premier League, the club’s longest losing streak against a single club.
- Only two players in Premier League history have scored twice against Man City for two different clubs – Andy Carroll (Newcastle and Liverpool) and Darren Bent (Aston Villa and Sunderland). Leandro Trossard scored for Brighton against Man City earlier this season and could join this list with another in that game.
Arsenal vs Man City Prediction
- Moneyline Lean: Draw (+240)
- Lean against the spread: Armory +0.5 (-185)
- Outcome Prediction: Arsenal 2-2 Manchester City
Very few times in recent history have fans witnessed a duel between first and second in the second half of the season that did not end in a draw. Exciting, tense, or boring, these games don’t often result in one team taking a big step in the title race while the other takes a step back.
Going back to last season, both times Man City played Liverpool, the two were top of the Premier League and both times the game ended in a 2-2 draw. The year before, runners-up Liverpool played first-placed Tottenham in December and while Liverpool emerged victorious, a 90th-minute winner was required. These matches are always close, and getting a draw here offers both the most balanced approach and the most value.
Arsenal vs Man City: Best bet
- Choose: Over 2.5 goals
- Opportunities: -130 (BetMGM)
While Manchester City excelled defensively against teams from the lower tiers, they have shown many cracks against the league’s top clubs. In six games so far against the current top five in the Premier League (Arsenal, Manchester United, Newcastle and Tottenham), the teams have scored a goal together crazy 26 goals or 4.3 goals per game. Throw in six more games against Liverpool and Chelsea and you get 12 games at 45 goals, or 3.75 goals per game in total.
Arsenal have been outstanding defensively overall this season but have shown some cracks lately. Everyone at Goodison Park knew Everton would be most dangerous from set pieces and yet Arsenal conceded the winner from a corner. They conceded another header against Brentford last time out and showed a sudden weakness in the air. Like Man City, Arsenal have conceded multiple goals against big clubs on a number of occasions this year, including a 3-1 loss to Manchester United, a 3-2 win over the Red Devils in the first leg and a 3-2 win over Liverpool too home.
Usually the over is a big favorite in big club matchups with talented attacking players, but with this powerful matchup only slightly skewed towards more goals, it’s the right time to pounce on this selection at better than expected value.
Arsenal vs Man City Prop Bet
- Choose: Bukayo Saka to score or assist
- Opportunities: +150 (FanDuel)
While Arsenal’s attack has been somewhat stifled of late, Bukayo Saka has been a player who has taken the forward line. After Martin Odegaard and Gabriel Martinelli have slacked off in recent weeks, it has been Saka who has carried the burden for the Gunners.
Saka has recorded three goals and two assists in the club’s last seven Premier League games, recording 1.83 xG and 1.91 xA over that span. Meanwhile, Odegaard and Martinelli have faded into the background; Odegaard has gone three consecutive league games without recording a goal, while Martinelli has managed five.
The England international is set to take on one of Nathan Ake, Aymeric Laporte or Rico Lewis on Man City’s left and neither of those players are exactly a terrible prospect for Saka.
Arsenal vs Man City flyer bet
- Choose: Arsenal come from behind and win or draw
- Opportunities: +380 (Caesars)
This game is set for an early lead from Manchester City and a late home result from Arsenal. Man City have scored the most goals in the Premier League from 16 to 45 minutes, with 21 of their total 56 goals being scored during that period, or 37.5 percent. Meanwhile, City are known to fall apart a little late, conceding six times from 76-90 minutes, the most in a 15-minute segment this season.
Arsenal, on the other hand, are improving significantly as the game progresses. They have scored 59 percent of their goals in the second half, the sixth-highest in the league, including 13 goals in the league lead in the first 15 minutes after half-time. While they only scored six goals in the last 15 minutes of games (premier league midfield), five of those were scored at home.
The Gunners have not scored a second-half goal against Man City for 289 minutes of the second half and that winning streak is set to be broken here.
Arsenal vs Man City Live Stream, TV Channels
MORE: Watch Premier League games live with fuboTV in US
MORE: Watch Arsenal vs Man City game live with fuboTV in Canada
| Date | Time | TV channel | stream | |
| USA | Wed, February 15 | 2:30 p.m. ET | — | peacock |
| United Kingdom | Wed, February 15 | 19:30 GMT | — | Amazon Prime |
| Australia | Thu, February 16 | 06:30 CEST | — | Opus Sport |
| Canada | Wed, February 15 | 2:30 p.m. ET | — | fuboTV Canada |
| India | Thu, February 16 | 00:00 IST | Star Sports Select 1 | JioTV, Hotstar VIP |
| New Zealand | Thu, February 16 | 08:30 NZST | sky sport | go sky |
| Malaysia | Thu, February 16 | 03:30 Mt | Astro Supersport 3 | Sooka, Astro Go |
| Singapore | Thu, February 16 | 03:30 SST | Hub Premier 1 & 2 (Ch. 221-222) | StarHub TV+ |
| Hong Kong | Thu, February 16 | 03:30 HKST | Now Premier League TV (Ch. 620-621) | Now E, now player |
UNITED KINGDOM: This Wednesday night’s game in the UK will be streamed on the Amazon Prime streaming service.
UNITED STATES: The match will only be available on the Peacock streaming service.
Canada: Every Premier League match is streamed live and on demand exclusively via fuboTV.
Australia: Fans in Australia can stream matches live and on-demand on Optus Sport.