Barcelona vs Real Madrid prediction, odds, betting tips and best bets for El Clasico in La Liga

A season of El Clasico mayhem draws nearer to the next installment of football’s greatest rivalry as La Liga leaders Barcelona host Real Madrid at the Camp Nou on Sunday.
The Blaugrana have a nine-point lead at the top of the league table and could finish in double digits with a home win. Real Madrid know it will take more than a win to get back in the title race today, but a move within six would put Barcelona under pressure in the long run.
Neither side has been in unbeatable form in recent domestic games, suggesting anything can happen when the two clash at one of the most iconic locations on earth. Madrid drew against Atletico Madrid and Real Betis twice in a row before beating Espanyol the last time, while Barcelona were beaten by Almeria in late February before winning their last two games.
Barcelona won the last meeting between these two teams, winning 1-0 in the first leg of the Copa del Rey semi-final at the Santiago Bernabeu. The reunion is early April.
Sporting News football betting expert Kyle Bonn shares his best high-risk, high-return bets, props and flyers on some of the sport’s biggest matches each week. Since the beginning of 2023 is his The best bets hit 52.4% of the timewhile be Overall selections have generated a win of over 50 units until now. He has that too Correctly predicted 37 out of 60 game outcomes about his 3-way moneyline leans to date.
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Barcelona vs Real Madrid Odds
Barcelona are understandable favorites as leaders and hosts of this game as they are almost even on the three-way line, but the odds makers are aware that this game can have unpredictable outcomes.
Perfectly embodying that feeling, Real Madrid have won La Liga twice in a row at the Camp Nou and haven’t lost on Barcelona’s sacred ground since 2018.
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Barcelona win |
Pull | real Madrid win |
Both teams to score Y/N |
over under 2.5 goals |
FCB -0.5 |
RMFC +0.5 |
|
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
BetMGM (UNITED STATES) |
+110 | +250 | +230 | -150 / +105 | -130 / -110 | +100 | -145 |
Sports interaction (Canada) |
+114 | +235 | +215 | -154 / -102 | -120 / -115 | +112 | -149 |
SkyBet (UNITED KINGDOM) |
11/10 | 5/2 | 12/5 | 4/6, 11/10 | 11.10., 5.4 | — | — |
neds (Australia) |
2.10 | 3.40 | 3.30 | 1.67 / 2.10 | 1.82 / 1.92 | — | — |
Dafabet (India) |
2.23 | 3.55 | 3.35 | 1.74 / 2.11 | 1.92 / 1.96 | 2.14 | 1.77 |
Barcelona vs Real Madrid: 3 things to know
Facts about the match between Barcelona and Real Madrid
- Date: Sunday March 19th
- kick-off time: 4:00 PM ET / 8:00 PM GMT / 7:00 AM AEDT (Monday, March 20)
- Location: Camp Nou (Barcelona, Spain)
- Officially: Ricardo de Burgos Bengoetxea
- Last meeting: Real Madrid 0-1 Barcelona (March 2, 2023 | King’s Cup)
Team News Barcelona vs Real Madrid
All eyes for Barcelona will be on the young midfielder’s status Pedri who has been missing with a hamstring injury since mid-February. He returned to training this week and could reportedly start against Real Madrid and would likely at least make the bench. Ousmane Dembelewho is nursing a long-term hamstring injury was oddly pictured Attending a Sunderland game Mid-week but remains paused.
Karim Benzema was withdrawn from Real Madrid’s Champions League win over Liverpool midweek but is reportedly ready for El Clasico. The only concerns for Los Blancos are with David Alabawhose Achilles tendon injury will keep him sidelined, and Ferland Mendywho has been missing since late January.
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The most important statistics between Barcelona and Real Madrid
- Real Madrid are unbeaten in four games at the Camp Nou, losing the last one 5-1 in October 2018. This small stretch includes back-to-back wins to secure two draws.
- However, Barcelona have won two games in a row against Real Madrid in all competitions. Since the 2011/12 season, when they won a Supercopa second leg, a league game and a Copa del Rey quarter-final first leg in a row, they have not won three consecutive El Clasico matches since the 2011/12 season.
- Barcelona have conceded just eight goals in 25 league games this season, putting them on track to finish with just 12 goals conceded in the entire league campaign. The club’s record for goals conceded in a 38-game league season is 21 from the 2010–11 season. This projected mark would also surpass the club’s record low for a 30-game season, down from 18 in 1968–69.
Barcelona vs Real Madrid Prediction
- Moneyline Lean: Real Madrid (+230)
- Lean against the spread: Real Madrid +0.5 (-145)
- Outcome Prediction: Barcelona 0-1 Real Madrid
Since these two teams are so balanced all the time, it’s best to make picks based on value. An away win is far more valuable, which is anything but unusual in this rivalry.
Both teams have their strengths and both teams have their weaknesses. Real Madrid’s weaknesses are affecting Barcelona’s strengths, which is why the Blaugrana have won twice in a row, but if anyone can take the lessons from the last two games and apply them here, it’s Carlo Ancelotti.
We are leaning towards a Real Madrid win here, but with the understanding that predicting the outcome of this game is not the best way to play this game.
Barcelona vs Real Madrid: best bet
- Choose: Under 2.5 goals
- Opportunities: -110 (BetMGM)
The last time these two teams met, they canceled each other out. Barcelona defended over long distances and Real Madrid had to shoot from long distances.
There’s likely to be more of that in this game and while Barcelona should have more than a meager 35 percent possession at home, neither side has been productive in creating a ton of chances. On top of that, both goalkeepers have been outstanding this season and it will take something special for both sides to progress.
Barcelona are on course to set an incredible defensive record in league play and they should be up to the task here against a bitter rival.
Barcelona vs Real Madrid Prop Bet
- Choose: Game won by exactly 1 goal
- Opportunities: +130 (BetMGM)
In recent years, these teams have not settled for a single point – they want to win. Dating back to a 0-0 draw in 2019, the rivalry has not drawn in their last nine matches in all competitions. Still, it was a bitter fight: Of those nine games, five were won by a single goal.
With very little between these two teams and an expected low scoring record, this is a solid game.
Barcelona vs Real Madrid Live Stream, TV Channels
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TV channel | stream | |
---|---|---|
USA | ESPN deported | fuboTV, ESPN+, WatchESPN |
Canada | — | TSN+ |
United Kingdom | Viaplay Sports 1, LaLigaTV | ViaPlay |
Australia | — | Opus Sport |
New Zealand | Sky Sport 7 beIN Sports | beIN Sports Connect |
India | sports18 | JioTV |
Hong Kong | Now sports 2 | beIN Sports Connect, Now Player, M Plus Live |
Malaysia | be in sports | beIN Sports Connect, sooka |
Singapore | be in sports | beIN Sports Connect, StarHub TV+ |