Borussia Dortmund vs Koln prediction, odds, best bets, live stream, TV channel for Bundesliga derby

The Bundesliga title race is full of drama and intrigue and Borussia Dortmund enter the field on Saturday knowing they need three points to keep up if they defeat nearby derby rivals Köln in the German top-flight receive action.

Dortmund’s slip-up last time out against Schalke saw them fall two points behind top-placed Bayern and with three teams five points behind all levels Dortmund will not only keep up with the leaders but also keep those behind at bay want.

Injuries are a concern for BVB and they will be missing many key attacking players when they come up against a side that has bothered them in recent history. Dortmund are yet to lose in league play in 2023, amassing the league’s best 19 points, but they’ve only beaten Cologne once in their last five encounters.

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MORE: The Sporting News’ football betting guide

Facts about the game between Borussia Dortmund and Cologne

  • Date: Saturday March 18th
  • kick-off time: 1:30pm ET / 5:30pm GMT / 4:30am AEDT (Sun, Mar 19)
  • Location: Signal Iduna Park (Dortmund, Germany)
  • Officially: Daniel Siebert
  • Last meeting: RB Leipzig – Borussia Dortmund 3: 0 (09/10/2022 | Bundesliga)

Borussia Dortmund vs Cologne prediction, odds

  • Moneyline Lean: Borussia Dortmund (-225)
  • Against the Spread Lean (Handicap): Dortmund -1.5 (+115)
  • Outcome Prediction: Borussia Dortmund 2-0 Cologne

Borussia Dortmund have had problems with Köln in the past but they are just too talented to fail here.

The slip-up against Schalke last time hurt the title fight, but BVB shouldn’t accept another negative result against the twelfth-placed team.

Pull Cologne
Both teams
to score Y/N
over under
2.5 goals
-225 +375 +525 -135 / -105 -175 / +125 +115 -160
-238 +366 +508 -147 / -106 -179 / +134 +117 -149
2/5 18/5 2.11 8/11, 1/1 4/7, 5/4
1.44 4.40 7:00 1.73 / 2.00 1.60 / 2.30
1.44 4.70 6:00 am 1.76 / 1.99 1.59 / 2.36 2.18 1.68

Borussia Dortmund vs Koln best bet

Here’s how the betting market feels about Borussia Dortmund’s rampant attack: Koln haven’t scored in four league games in a row and yet the total of over 2.5 goals is -175!

We can take advantage of this imbalance because Cologne cannot score and Dortmund have to cope with significant losses. Julian Brandt and Karim Adeyemi, two players in very good form, are injured and Emre Can is suspended due to a yellow card suspension. Gio Reyna, Donyell Malen and Jamie Bynoe-Gittens are talented young players, but they don’t pose the same offensive threat.

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Raphael Guerreiro subsequently switched to a more offensive role and did well against Schalke last time out, but Köln are far better defensively and were unlucky with a league-high difference between xGA and goals conceded of -9.16. You can take the target below 2.5 for a good price, but raising it to 3 to hedge a bit still pays just under even money.

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Borussia Dortmund vs Koln Prop Bet

  • Choose: Jude Bellingham 1+ shots on goal
  • Opportunities: 1/1 (SkyBet)

The England midfielder has so much more to offer than just goals and assists, but he loves the occasional appearance in front of goal and ripping up multiple shots in five of his last 10 league games, plus four shots over both legs against Chelsea. When he does, he makes the most of it, clocking in at a solid 0.12 xG per shot, so he’s very capable of getting her on the frame.

With Dortmund expected to control possession in this game but may face some frustrations, expect Bellingham to let loose from long range and he should be able to put at least one of them on target.

Borussia Dortmund vs Koln Live Stream, TV Channels

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TV channel stream
Canada Sportsnet world Sportsnet
United Kingdom Sky Sports Football Sky Sports
Australia beIN Sport 2 beIN Sports Connect, Kayo Sports
New Zealand Sky Sports Premier League Sky Sports
India Sony TEN 2 Sony LIV, JioTV
Hong Kong MPlus Live
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