F1 2023 Miami Grand Prix: Predictions, odds, betting tips and best bets for latest Formula One race

Although almost everyone was predicting an easy third straight Drivers’ Championship win for Max Verstappen in 2023, his Red Bull teammate Sergio Perez continued to increase the pressure early in the season.

The Mexican driver put together the perfect weekend to close the gap in the Drivers’ Championship to six points at the top last time out in Azerbaijan and will be desperate for more success in Miami this weekend.

Due to his recent performances, Perez’s chances of winning this race have dropped significantly, although Verstappen still remains the favourite. Charles Leclerc, Fernando Alonso and Lewis Hamilton all follow close behind.

Before the action begins The sports news dives through all the odds to bring you the best bets and tips for the upcoming 2023 Miami Grand Prix.

MORE: Predictions, odds, betting tips and best bets for the 2023 F1 season

F1 Miami Grand Prix 2023 odds

Just like the previous four races of the 2023 F1 season, Max Verstappen has been made the big favorite to win the 2023 Miami Grand Prix.

However, Sergio Perez has greatly closed the gap compared to recent weeks as the Mexican driver clinched a famous one-two in Azerbaijan in both the F1 sprint and subsequent Grand Prix.

Charles Leclerc is the third favorite to win at Miami – a circuit where he took pole position last season – after clinching a podium last time out in Baku.

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Ferrari driver Fernando Alonso, Lewis Hamilton, George Russell and Carlos Sainz follow on the odds list.

Full List of Odds for Drivers to Win the 2023 Miami Grand Prix

odds over BetMGM (UNITED STATES), Sports Interaction (Canada), SkyBet (UK), neds (Australia) and Dafabet (India). Odds correct as of May 4th.

driver BetMGM Sports
heaven bet neds Dafabet
Max Verstappen -200 1.44 4/9 1.50 1.40
Sergio Perez +300 4.00 11/4 4.00 4.00
Charles Leclerc +1200 13.00 12/1 13.00 13.00
Fernando Alonso +1400 15.00 14/1 15.00 15.00
Lewis Hamilton +2000 26.00 25/1 21.00 26.00
George Russell +2200 41.00 40/1 23.00 41.00
Carlo Sainz +2500 34.00 33/1 26.00 34.00
lance walk +8000 101.00 100/1 101 101.00
Lando Norris +15000 101.00 200/1 151 101.00
Esteban Ocon +25000 251.00 200/1 251 251.00
Pierre Gasli +25000 251.00 200/1 251 251.00
Yuki Tsunoda +75000 501.00 500/1 1001 501.00
Oskar Piastri +75000 501.00 500/1 1001 501.00
Alex Albon +100000 501.00 500/1 1001 501.00
Logan Sargeant +100000 501.00 1000/1 1001 501.00
Nico Hulkenberg +100000 501.00 750/1 1001 501.00
Kevin Magussen +100000 501.00 750/1 1001 501.00
Valtteri Bottas +200000 501.00 750/1 2001 501.00
Zhou Guanyu +200000 501.00 750/1 2001 501.00
Nyck de Vries +200000 501.00 1000/1 2001 501.00

F1 Miami Grand Prix 2023: Best bet

  • Choose: The race winning margin must be between 00 and 05.999 seconds
  • Opportunities: +110 (BetMGM)

What Sergio Perez’s recent form has shown is that he can keep up on his day and surpass Max Verstappen.

This is great for F1 neutrals looking to see more of a title shot this season, while also opening up most of the markets likely to see success from a betting perspective.

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We chose one here as we expect to win the race by a margin of between 0 and 05.999 seconds. That happened last time at the Azerbaijan Grand Prix (2.137s) and the first run of the Miami Grand Prix last season when Verstappen beat Leclerc by just 3.786s.

The tight nature of this track will likely cluster the pack even more in 2023.

F1 Miami Grand Prix 2023: Prop Bet

  • Choose: Lando Norris finish points
  • Opportunities: 8/15 (SkyBet)

Although McLaren suffered a difficult start to the season, the British F1 team has seemingly recovered of late and now has a car more than capable of cracking the top ten on race day.

That was evident again as Norris sauntered to a points-place finish in Azerbaijan, while his overall form suggests another points-place finish is likely here, having finished P6 at the previous Melbourne GP.

To put it even more bluntly, over the past three seasons, McLaren’s ‘Mr Consistency’ has scored 39 points in 48 races. His teammate Oscar Piastri’s pace also seems strong of late, which helps highlight the car’s improvements as they look to battle in midfield again this season.

F1 Miami Grand Prix 2023: Flight Bet

  • Choose: Perez wins, Hamilton & Leclerc in top 6
  • Opportunities: 9/2 (SkyBet)

If you fancy Perez winning back-to-back F1 races for the first time in his career, then this selection is for you.

Adding in both Hamilton and Leclerc to secure the top six finishes in Miami brings the odds up to 9/2, which is really good value for a seemingly obvious result in this race.

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As mentioned, Leclerc looked extremely quick last time out in Baku, securing pole position for both the sprint race and the Grand Prix before taking P3 in Sunday’s race. He also took pole in Miami last year before finishing second to Verstappen in the final standings.

As for Hamilton, he continues to remain reliable when it comes to top six finishes, despite seemingly delivering very different performances from his Mercedes car each week. Admittedly he slipped to P7 in the sprint race in Azerbaijan but he bounced back and took P6 in the Grand Prix meaning he has finished inside the top 6 in all four races so far in 2023.

What were The Sporting News’ tips for the 2023 Azerbaijan Grand Prix?

Here’s a recap of our three picks from last weekend’s Grand Prix in Baku and whether they were successful or not.

  • Verstappen wins Azerbaijan GP by more than 10 seconds (6/4 – SkyBet) ❌
  • Every driver except Verstappen wins the Azerbaijan GP (+140 – BetMGM) ✅
  • Leclerc, Sainz & Verstappen Top 6 Finish, Norris & Perez Points Finish (11/2 – SkyBet) ✅

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