How can Arsenal win the Premier League title? What Gunners need to beat Man City to 2023 EPL trophy

Arsenal top the 2022/23 Premier League table and Gunners supporters could feel like they practically have a hand on the trophy.

Still, there’s a lot of football left to play and Arsenal certainly can’t feel like the title has been bagged yet. A five-point lead with a game in hand in early February would normally feel like a firm grip, but thanks to the World Cup hiatus there are still a lot more games than usual at this stage of the season.

Arsenal still have 18 games left in the Premier League season, which makes up just under half of the 38-game schedule. Defending champions Manchester City could very easily still be in for a run for the trophy should the Gunners slip at any point in recent months.

The best way to calculate what a team needs to mathematically secure the title is to use their ‘magic number’, which gives title-hungry fans a better sense of what their club needs to lift the trophy.

MORE: Arsenal odds to win 2022/23 Premier League title

How many points do Arsenal need to win the Premier League title?

The Gunners are currently at the top of the Premier League table. five points above Runner-up Manchester City with a game in hand. They are seven points adrift of third-placed Manchester United and two games to go against the Red Devils.

position	team	Points	matches played	Goals achieved	Goal Difference	Next game
1.	arsenal	50	20	45	+28	vs. BRE, February 11
2.	man city	45	21	53	+32	vs. AVL, February 12
3.	man united	43	22	36	+8	at LEE, February 12
4.	newcastle	40	21	34	+22	February 11th

A “magic number” is the number of points that the first-placed team must accumulate to mathematically secure the championship. These can either be points that the team in question has won, or Points given by the team with the next highest maximum possible number of points. For example, if a team’s magic number is five, they could win the title with five points gained themselves, or two points gained plus three points lost by their nearest opponent.

How to find Arsenal’s “magic number”.

To calculate a magic number, take the team with the highest possible total remaining and add one to that total. This gives you the number of points the leaders need to achieve, which would put them unattainable for any other club.

As of this writing, with a large roster remaining to be completed before the end of the season, there is still a long way to go. Manchester City have 17 games left, giving them a maximum of 51 possible points to collect, for a possible score of 96.

Arsenal currently have 50 points and 18 of their own games to play. Therefore, for Arsenal to surpass Manchester City’s maximum points, they need 47 more points to see themselves out of reach.

That means Arsenal’s magic number is 47, an accumulation of points won by the Gunners and dropped by Manchester City (or any club that finds itself in a stronger position than City over the course of the season). So keep that in mind if Arsenal were going to win their next game And Manchester City loses their next game, which would count as six points against the magic number.

How can Man City win Premier League title in 2022/23?

With Arsenal in charge of their own destiny, Manchester City must collect as many points as possible And I hope Arsenal help them by dropping their own points.

At this point, Man City are sitting with one five points away between them and the top of the table.

One thing to keep in mind, Man City have the goal difference advantage at this point with a +32 goal difference over Arsenal’s +28. Should the teams finish level on points, goal difference would decide the Premier League title.

If they are level on goal difference, goals scored would be the next tiebreaker used to decide the title. Man City have scored 53 goals, Arsenal 45.

Arsenal, Man City Premier League Matches Remaining

With both Arsenal and Manchester City in contention for the Premier League title, the fixture list remaining matters a lot as both look to move forward in recent weeks.

Indeed, according to figures from analytics website FootyLabs, Arsenal and Man City have the two remaining easiest fixtures in the league for the remainder of the season, with Arsenal just a touch lighter.

The two are yet to meet in the Premier League this season, with matchups at Arsenal on February 15 and Man City on April 26. These games could decide the Premier League title, or at least decide whether the chase continues or ends forever. Aside from these matchups, the only games left for either team against one of the top five clubs in the Premier League (Man United, Newcastle, Tottenham) are one game each against Newcastle.

Arsenal’s pending game will be played as a rescheduled match of week seven against Everton on March 1, after which the two teams will be level on games played.

PL game week	Arsenal games	Man City games
23	February 11 against Brentford	February 12 against Aston Villa
12**	February 15 against Manchester City	February 15 at Arsenal
24	February 18 at Aston Villa	18 February in Nott. Forest
25	February 25 at Leicester City	25 February at Bournemouth
7*	March 1st vs Everton	—
26	March 4 vs Bournemouth	March 4 vs Newcastle
27	March 12 at Fulham	March 11 at Crystal Palace
28	March 19 against Crystal Palace	March 19 vs West Ham
29	1 April vs Leeds United	1 April vs Liverpool
30	April 8th in Liverpool	April 8th at Southampton
31	15 April at West Ham	April 15 against Leicester City
32	April 22 against Southampton	April 22 at Brighton
33	April 26th in Man City	April 26 against Arsenal
34	April 29 against Chelsea	29 April at Fulham
35	May 6th in Newcastle	6 May vs Leeds United
36	13 May vs Brighton	13 May at Everton
37	20 May in Nott. Forest	May 20 against Chelsea
38	May 28 against wolves	28 May at Brentford

* Arsenal’s Matchweek 7 against Everton has been postponed from mid-September
** Matchweek 12 game between Arsenal and Man City has been postponed from mid-October