This article is part of our MLB Picks series.
Tonight’s MLB Picks: MLB Expert Betting and MLB Player Props for Friday, August 26th
Last article record: 1-4 -3.49 units
Season record: 159-143-4 +27.50 units
A few weeks ago I was just looking at a single game and various betting options. I return to this strategy with a Dodgers vs. Marlins matchup that just looks too good to pass up.
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Los Angeles Dodgers at Miami Marlins
The Dodgers just defeated the Marlins 3-0 in Los Angeles with a 19-4 run total in the series. I’d expect more of that now that they’re playing in Miami, which significantly depresses run-scoring. That only helps Tyler Anderson and the Dodgers here. I usually shy away from putting -1.5 when the total is low, but the Marlins just can’t score and the Dodgers, well, they can.
The Marlins go with Bryan Hoeing, who was shot at for seven earned carries in three innings in his last start against the Dodgers.
The Dodgers are 22-5 in their last 27 games, averaging 6.4 runs per game while allowing 2.6. The Marlins are 3-14 in their last 17 home games in which they have averaged 1.8 runs. The UNDER is 16-3-3 in the Marlins’ last 22 games.
I’ve noticed a trend in the Dodgers’ running lines when they’re above -140 and I’d object to that here, but the recent sweep really brings me back to the Dodgers.
I usually like to spread my risk because of the variance in baseball, but at this point I’m putting all my chips back in and using multiple ways to play it.
MLB bests and player props for Dodgers at Marlins
- Dodgers -1.5 runs for 1.5 RW dollars (BetMGM -149)
- Dodgers OVER 2.5 runs F5 for 1 RW Buck (DraftKings +105)
- Dodgers OVER 4.5 runs for 1.2 RW buck (DraftKings -120)
- Tyler Anderson records a WIN for 1.45 RW buck (DraftKings -145)
- Marlins UNDER 1.5 runs F5 for 1.5 RW buck (DraftKings -150)
- Marlins UNDER 2.5 runs for $1.14 (FanDuel -114)
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