Nationwide Children’s Hospital Championship preview and best bets

Golf Betting Tips: National Children’s Hospital Championship

2 points ew Min Woo Lee at 33/1 (bet365 1/4 1,2,3,4,5)

1pt ew Davis Thompson at 66/1 (Coral, Unibet 1/5 1,2,3,4,5,6)

1 point against Patrick Flavin at 100/1 (Unibet 1/5 1,2,3,4,5,6)

1pt ew David Lingmerth at 200/1 (Coral 1/5 1,2,3,4,5,6)

1pt ew Paul Barjon at 200/1 (Coral 1/5 1,2,3,4,5,6)

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Golf doesn’t get much more competitive than the Korn Ferry Tour finals, and after a sighter in Boise, it’s time to get involved in the Nationwide Children’s Hospital Championship.

A look at the market is a reminder that the DP World Tour is doing well at this level of competition, with stalwarts Dean Burmester and Thomas Detry battling Taylor Montgomery for favoritism. Likewise, it tells us what we all know, which is that the PGA Tour is where most professional golfers really want to be.

Burmester and Detry just completed their Idaho effort and will be PGA Tour players next season, and the value here is in even greater talent MIN WOO LEEwhich can be supported globally with 30/1 and in one location with 33/1.

Lee’s main performances this year – 14th at the Masters, 27th at the US Open, 21st at the Open – were of a very high standard and while he was lackluster elsewhere, unlike Burmester and Detry, that can be explained by his schedule . He plays invites, chases a PGA Tour card in high-profile events and has only fallen below Rolex Series level once in Europe.

That warrants spotty results to some extent, but he played well for 26th last week on a quirky course where he couldn’t tee off from an opening round of 63 but still got off to a solid start in his KFT Finals campaign.

My strong suspicion is that Ohio State University’s Scarlet Course will be a much better fit. Redesigned by Jack Nicklaus in 2005, this par 71 is inherently much more straight-forward, while not a cinch, and certainly offers something for the big hitter. Andrew Loupe, Grayson Murray and Peter Uihlein have all won here, along with future world number ones Scottie Scheffler and Justin Thomas, and all did so by attacking the course from the tee.

Lee retains star potential, which we saw last summer when he ousted Detry in a Scottish Open play-off, and while his approach play can let him down, he should have plenty of opportunities to pick up cheap birdies here. It’s also a tournament won by his childhood friend, Curtis Luck, who thinks he has a really good chance of being confirmed as a member of the PGA Tour for the upcoming season.

If I were Trevor Immelman I would be keeping an eye on both him and Burmester for the Presidents Cup. That might sound silly given the level we’re at, but other than KH Lee and maybe Ryan Fox, there aren’t too many compelling candidates for wildcard selection, and the X-factor of a player like Lee is something that maybe he should consider given the way the Aussie has performed at the highest level in 2022.

Regardless, spurred on by the resurgence of mentor Adam Scott, I will be disappointed if Lee cannot secure his PGA Tour status with both this course and the ideal Victoria National platforms.

Strong driving looks Ohio and deserves both Vincent Norrman and DAVIS THOMPSON a spot on the shortlist, with the latter being narrowly preferred.

Thompson bounced back to form with a 15th place finish at the Boise Open last week and again he wouldn’t necessarily be suited for the course. His mix of power and accuracy has made him the driving leader this season. He seems cut from a similar mold to Scheffler, and I’d expect Ohio State to match that.

In just 20 Korn Ferry Tour starts, he has one win and three other top 10 finishes, on a few other occasions, and it is perhaps telling that his summer break came a week after his Illinois debut weak final rounds. It was similar last Sunday when he dropped from sixth to 15th and may be able to get back on track very quickly.

Norrman was really enticing as the Swede had shown his considerable potential both during this Korn Ferry Tour season and when he competed on the DP World Tour a year ago. He was back pounding greens last week and should find this more fitting, but Thompson is the one who has stubbornly meddled in the mix, while Norrman, paralyzed by the putter, has generally given himself too much to do.

Brandon Matthews is one of the strongest golfers on any professional tour and he too rediscovered his form last week. The 28-year-old won in neighboring Pennsylvania earlier this year and triple-digit prizes are tempting enough, as is Murray, a former winner here who is a big fish at this level and has also won on the PGA Tour in the past.

However, I would rather take a risk PATRICK FLAVINa player who has caused a stir in Monday’s qualifiers this year, played his way into five PGA Tour events and then finished 10th at the John Deere Classic.

That got him a start at the Barbasol where he scraped through until the weekend and then climbed to 21st place and I’m surprised he has a higher price for that. He’s only played six rounds at tour level since then, all under 70, without really brightening things up, and there’s no reason to think his form has dropped significantly.

There are several players who also participated in the Barbasol and have lower odds than this week, including Brandon Hagy, whose form since then has been MC-MC-MC-WD-MC. Matti Schmid also halved the prize from that tournament, while Flavin snuck up to triple figures after an admittedly understated performance in Boise.

However, what I really like is that he’s an Illinois boy who went to college here in Ohio, although not at Ohio State, one might say. Still, this is something of a home game, and his only previous start in Buckeye State, on last year’s Canadian Tour, saw him shoot 65-64 over the weekend and finish fifth when he wasn’t at his best.

That was a year ago this week, and he’s since won that PGA Tour top-10 in front of friends and family in Illinois, where he’d also finished fifth at that level in 2021, so it’s no wonder he’s coming with high hopes approached these events, tells the Daily Herald: “I feel great. I’m super confident. I’m ready to take care of business.”

Flavin’s friend Nick Hardy has an obvious chance here and was tempting at 40/1, but it’s the former that responds as an each-way bet at more than double the odds.

Finally, there are a few courses that appear to exhibit strong correlations with this course, and that’s an avenue I’d like to explore at great prices.

One of them is TPC Potomac, which has hosted the Wells Fargo Championship won by Max Homa in the spring and two editions of the Quicken Loans National in 2017 and 2018. Among those who came close both there and here , include Cameron Young and Ryan Armor , Stephan Jaeger and Lanto Griffin, while Curtis Luck won this event a few years after finishing fifth in Maryland.

Bronson Burgoon, Beau Hossler, Chesson Hadley and Abraham Ancer are others who make an appearance whilst there is also a good connection with TPC Twin Cities, home of the 3M Open all of which have led me there DAVID LINGMERTH.

It’s been a frustrating few years for the Swede, but there were signs of life in 2022, first when he played in co-sanctioned events earlier in the season, then when he made the cut at the US Open after a brilliant start, and his golf since Brookline is solid, if unspectacular.

Last week’s Boise Open bid was over before it really got started, but he bounced back with a 65 in the second round, a score surpassed by only nine players, and when he was at the Barbasol a couple of years ago championship did something very similar, he fought for two of his next three starts.

As a former Potomac winner whose only PGA Tour win came on a Nicklaus design right here in Ohio, the fact that he’s been in the mix at the last two editions of the 3M Open also stands out, and he’s in decent form doing so Scarlet Course to his name, who twice finished 14th at that event.

The last of those efforts was in 2014 and he’s been on poor form for two consecutive visits so with just enough time to suggest his game is on the up, he’s an interesting underdog at 200/1.

The same applies PAUL BARJONwho showed up well in third after round one in Potomac in May after previously battling for The American Express in California.

Barjon was fourth here last year when he led the field on the greens, so he has fond memories of the course. In contrast, he’s now MC-73 MC at Boise, making last week’s effort almost irrelevant as he was way down the field there before challenging for that title 12 months ago.

Like Lingmerth, he competed in the 3M Open for a while, eventually finishing 31st, and this hard-hitting Frenchman definitely has what it takes to find form from scratch and see things through to the end. Also a 200/1 shot, one of the best drivers in this field, is worth a bet.

Posted at 1655 BST on 08/22/22

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