NFL odds Week 7: How to bet Browns-Ravens

The Cleveland Browns (2-4) play the Baltimore Ravens (3-3) in a key NFL AFC North Division matchup on Sunday. Two North teams are 3-3, the other two 2-4.

The Ravens have dominated the Browns since the former Cleveland franchise moved southeast to Maryland for the 1996 season. The Ravens lead the all-time streak 34-12, but the Browns won the last 24-22 matchup. December.

Here’s everything you need to know about NFL odds for Sunday’s matchup between the Browns and Ravens – point spread, moneyline, total over/under and a pick from our Betting Expert (with all NFL odds over FOX Bet).

TIED TOGETHER: Ravens sign DeSean Jackson

Brown at ravens (1 p.m. ET Sunday, CBS)

Point distribution: Ravens -6.5 (Ravens favors victory with more than 6.5 points, otherwise Browns coverage)
money line: Ravens -303 favorites to win (bet $10 to win $13.30 total); Browns +220 win underdogs (bet $10 to win $32 total)
Total Over/Under: Both teams scored 45.5 points together

Choose over FOX Sports Gambling Expert Warren Sharp:

In Weeks 1-5 there was no offense more balanced and efficient on early downs than the Browns.

Their EPA/dropback was +0.14. That in 3rd place.

Her EPA/rush was +0.10. That in 2nd place.

They were the only team in the top 5 on both metrics.

And then they met their old nemesis – Bill Belichick.

Belichick’s Patriots knew Jacoby Brissett well.

Belichick’s Patriots were also very familiar with this Browns offense.

Last year, the Patriots held the Browns to seven points and won in a landslide, 45-7.

Should we have been surprised that the game was a little closer but still a dominant Patriots win, 38-15?

Maybe not.

Against the Patriots last week, the Browns gained just -0.65 EPA/att on early down passes. That was last place in the NFL. Her noise was better, but not by much, recording only -0.10 EPA/att.

It was by far their worst performance of the season.

Does this mean the Browns’ offense is completely broken?

No it does not. And the Ravens’ defense still needs to be on their toes as their last two opponents, the Giants and the Bengals, still can’t match that offense.

But Baltimore’s offense had one more game they should have won but couldn’t seal the deal.

No team had more EPA/rush on early downs last week than the Ravens at +.32/att. And Baltimore was also top-7 in EPA/Pass on Early Downs.

But the Ravens missed the FG, opted for two FGs inside the Giants’ 16-yard line, threw an interception that led to a touchdown, and fumbled late to prevent a game-winning drive.

This should be a breakout spot for the Baltimore Ravens offense.

The Ravens just finished three top 10 defenses at the Bills, Patriots and Bengals.

Then they got the #30 defense with the Giants.

And despite playing their former DC, who knew all about Lamar Jackson, the Ravens still converted 40% of their early downs into first downs, the highest rate in the NFL last week.

They just missed the red zone.

But now?

Now they’re up against an even worse defense than the Giants.

Now they face off against the No. 31 Browns, who haven’t played anyone. Literally.

The Browns have played the third-easiest attacking plan in the NFL and are still the second-worst defense.

The Ravens offense is the best offense the Browns have faced this year.

And they also have terrible running defense (30th) that should help a Ravens offense that’s finally getting local support from their running backs.

Check out these splits from the Ravens RBs:

Week 1-4 meters before contact/rush: 1.2 (#17)

Week 5+ yards from contact/rush: 3.5 (#2)

Week 1-4 EPA/Rush: -0.14 (#25)

Week 5+ EPA/Rush: +0.16 (#2)

Whether it’s Kenyan Drake (119 rushing yards last week), JK Dobbins, or both, the Ravens RBs should have plenty of luck against this terrible running defense.

The Browns grant opposing RBs the most EPA/rush and second most yards from contact per rush (2.2 yards) of any team in the season.

Last week, the Browns simply tried to force the fourth-row rookie QB to hit them by loading the box with more than seven defenders on 91% of early Patriots downs.

It still didn’t work and her pass defenses were lit for 309 yards while still giving up three rushing touchdowns.

It’s been such a year for this Browns defense – zero replies.

Even though he played terrible QBs.

Baker Mayfield

Mitchell Trubisky

Joe Flaco

Markus Mariota

Bailey Zappe

And an injured Justin Herbert playing despite rib injections

Now? You must try to stop Lamar Jackson. Finally a top-flight QB who is completely sane. Eventually, the Browns will have to deal with a top 10 pass attack.

I don’t think they’re fine.

SELECT: Ravens -3.5 in the first half

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