Best Bets for Kempton and Newcastle

Race Betting Tips: Saturday 25th February

1 point solo in 2.25 Kempton at 7/1 (General)

1pt Killer Clown in 3.00 Kempton at 25/1 (General)

1 point Killer Kane in 3.00 Kempton at 14/1 (Bet365 & Unibet)

1pt ew Not yet cruise in 2.25 Newcastle at 20/1 (General – 1/4 1,2,3,4)

A quiet season began for the Christian Williams yard at Ascot last weekend when Cap Du Nord landed the big race and it’s a case of déjà vu with last year’s double win from the stable Coral Trophy Handicap Hunting in Kempton again advocated for overtime this Saturday.

Under revised terms from 2022, Kitty’s Light is weighted to reverse form with Cap Du Nord, but it appears from bets the former will travel to Newcastle for the Vertem Eider Chase, a race the stable also hosts with Win My Wings on won a groundbreaking day for her 12 months ago.

Handicapped very badly at Ascot, Cap Du Nord might find it difficult to continue with such a short time between races under a £7 penalty and I think this is stronger competition from the Six Day competitors.

The race will have a different complexion with Frodon running as he will keep the weights down by 7lbs and give 2021 winner Clondaw Castle a better shot, who had a decent one in his comeback behind Pic D’Orhy here last month exam passed.

He’s about the same as two years ago but he’s 11 years old and although his trainer has a great record in the race I think he’ll do well to win this race at 154.

Kempton seems to like certain horses and Emma Lavelle’s KILLER CLOWN has already confirmed his affinity for the track when he maintained his unbeaten record here last March and pulled off a career-best performance to turn a competitive handicap into a procession down the straight.

Disappointed at a few runs in the fall, he seems to have been targeted for that race ever since and the 25/1 offer is too big to resist.

Another Kempton-formed horse that seems to have a lot of upside from its current rating is the one trained by Joe Tizzard KILLER KANE who also struck twice here and a few weeks ago was a confident winner over distance and distance.

He’ll fall a little off the weights when Frodon runs, but the coach could make up for that by using his nephew, talented claimer Freddie Gingell, and the 14/1 currently available seems to have plenty of value.

What is the best bet in the Pendil?

The Pursuit of the Coral Pendil Novices This used to be one of the last chances for young chasers to show their credentials at Cheltenham and Boothill enters here after being beaten at Doncaster last time out.

His Sandown run behind Jonbon is the standout piece of form on offer in Saturday’s competition and he will be a hot favorite on the day but I think the one trained by Paul Nicholls SOLO will test his skills on a track that suits his freegoing style.

Nicholls has given him a break since finishing second here over Christmas when he tried to drop Balco Coastal weight, but this one is now rated 18lbs up after forcing the highly rated Gerri Colombe to do all the stops in class-one -To pull company in Sandown next time out.

He doesn’t have much to find on Saturday and a win would probably set him up for a tilt in one of the big rookie chases at Aintree, so at 7/1 he’s an interesting proposition as he runs particularly well fresh.

Preview of Newcastle Saturday

We mentioned Kitty’s Light and his obvious chance above in Newcastle Vertem Eider but it is already very scarce and its price certainly cannot decrease much between the next now and the launch time.

He’s always looked like a strong stayer, seems to have gotten in shape from last spring’s weights and definitely deserves to win a big race so he’s going to take a lot of beatings here.

This isn’t the fanciest edition of the race ever staged and I think the one coached by Sam England NO CRUISE YET has the profile to put in a solid four-mile race for the first time.

He looked full of stamina when he picked up a Carlisle handicap last year and prevailed bravely when he won at Haydock in November before continuing his consistent run behind a possibly well-handled Bretney last time out at Bangor. He probably looks like he’s running his race and represents the each-way value at 20/1.

Published at 0920 GMT on 02/21/2023

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